Want to See Next Year’s Oscar Winner? It’s Probably at the Mill Valley Film Festival

Anora by Tommy Lau
Sean Baker and Mikey Madison for “Anora” at MVFF 47. Photo by Tommy Lau

The MVFF’s programming is always stellar, from top to bottom. Whether you get gussied up and walk the red carpet on your way to one of the festival’s star-studded “big nights,” or you pop into a smaller screening on a whim only to have your mind blown by a film you’d never heard of, the films are always meticulously curated and high quality, through and through.

There is no better proof of the festival programmers’ immaculate taste than the fact that in its 48-year history, films featured at MVFF have won over 175 Academy Awards in major categories. The festival has earned the reputation of being an awards season predictor of sorts, featuring films that go on to win big at the Oscars

Last year, for example, MVFF spotlighted Mikey Madison’s breakthrough performance in Sean Baker’s Anora, which went on to win a whopping five Oscars, including Best Picture, Best Director and Best Actress. While some didn’t see the film’s domination at the Oscars coming, MVFF festivalgoers were anything but surprised.

Odds are, if you attend MVFF48, you’re going to be watching the films everyone will be buzzing about during awards season – just months ahead of everyone else. And ahead of this year’s festival, here’s a quick reminder of  MVFF’s winning record for featuring films, actors, actresses and directors who go on to win big at the Oscars.

Best Picture

Still from “Greenbook.” Copyright Dreamworks Pictures, courtesy of Moviestillsdb.com
  • Slumdog Millionaire (2008)
  • The King’s Speech (2010)
  • The Artist (2011)
  • Argo (2012)
  • 12 Years a Slave (2013)
  • Spotlight (2015)
  • Moonlight (2016)
  • The Shape of Water (2017)
  • Green Book (2018)
  • Parasite (2019)
  • Nomadland (2020)
  • Anora (2024)

Best Actress

Still of Frances McDormand in “Nomadland,” courtesy of Moviestillsdb.com
  • Jodie Foster, The Accused (1988)
  • Holly Hunter, The Piano (1993)
  • Helen Mirren, The Queen (2006)
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (2012)
  • Brie Larson, Room (2015)
  • Emma Stone, La La Land (2016)
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (2017)
  • Olivia Colman, The Favorite (2018)
  • Frances McDormand, Nomadland (2020)
  • Mikey Madison, Anora (2024)

Best Actor

Brendan Fraser in the Whale
Still of Brendan Fraser in “The Whale.” Courtesy of moviestillsdb.com
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, My Left Foot (1989) 
  • Jeremy Irons, Reversal of Fortune (1990)
  • Geoffrey Rush, Shine (1996)
  • Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland (2006)
  • Colin Firth, The King’s Speech (2010)
  • Jean Dujardin, The Artist (2011)
  • Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club (2013)
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything (2014)
  • Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea (2016)
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour (2017)
  • Anthony Hopkins, The Father (2020)
  • Brendan Fraser, The Whale (2022)

Best Director

Still from “The Shape of Water” with director Guillermo del Toro. Copyright Fox Searchlight Pictures, courtesy of moviestillsdb.com
  • Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire (2008)
  • Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech (2010)
  • Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist (2011)
  • Ang Lee, Life of Pi (2012)
  • Damien Chazelle, La La Land (2016)
  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water (2017)
  • Alfonso Cuarón, Roma (2018)
  • Bong Joon Ho, Parasite (2019)
  • Chloé Zhao, Nomadland (2020)
  • Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (2021)
  • Sean Baker, Anora (2024)